Active hurricane season forecast, but who listens?


This has led some forecasters, such as the group at Colorado State and AccuWeather Inc., to attempt landfall forecasts. Comparing today’s preseason climate patterns with those of past active years, AccuWeather expects that six tropical cyclones will hit US coasts. Of those, the company expects five to be hurricanes and three to arrive as major hurricanes. As the season progresses, the risk shifts from the Gulf Coast to the Eastern seaboard up through New England, the company holds. The Colorado State group sees a 79 percent likelihood that at least one hurricane will strike the Gulf Coast; the figure is 89 percent for Florida and the East Coast.