While the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration will not issue its official forecast for the new season until May, William Gray, a hurricane expert with Colorado State University, is predicting a tumultuous six months, although the season is not likely to rival last year’s devastation. In his December outlook report, Mr. Gray predicted there would be 17 named storms, 9 hurricanes and 5 major events with winds exceeding 111 miles per hour.

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